2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Ontario

1. 62,458 of 62,458 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 51,751 of 51,751 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 10,707 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 43,356 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 62,458 of 7,473,772 men of all ages living in Ontario died from All Causes.

62,458 ÷ 7,473,772 = 0.00836 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 651,955 deaths from All Causes among 94,153,277 men of all ages living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

651,955 ÷ 94,153,277 = 0.00692 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

7,473,772 X 0.00692 = 51,751 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

62,458 – 51,751 = 10,707

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

62,458 ÷ 51,751 = 1.2051

This reveals 10,707 lives lost and is 120.51% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

374,428 ÷ 49,358,569 = 0.00759 (5-yr CDR)

7,473,772(2022 pop) X 0.00759 = 56,695 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

62,458 – 56,695 = 5,763 or 5,763 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

62,458 ÷ 56,695 = 1.1002 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

56,832,341 X 0.00692 = 393,530 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

436886 – 393,530 = 43,356 or 43,356 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

436,886 ÷ 393,530 = 1.1086 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.