2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Ontario

1. 7,579 of 121,347 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.25% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 250% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,015 of 102,616 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 5,564 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 18,731 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 15,090 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 76,530 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 250% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 7,579 of 15,109,416 individuals of all ages living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

7,579 ÷ 15,109,416 = 0.00050 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 25,485 deaths from Unknown Causes among 191,064,858 individuals of all ages living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

25,485 ÷ 191,064,858 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

15,109,416 X 0.00013 = 2,015 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

7,579 – 2,015 = 5,564

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

7,579 ÷ 2,015 = 3.4984

This reveals 5,564 lives lost and is 349.84% of what we expected (an increase of 250%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

22,870 ÷ 100,041,330 = 0.00023 (5-yr CDR)

15,109,416(2022 pop) X 0.00023 = 3,454 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7,579 – 3,454 = 4,125 or 4,125 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

7,579 ÷ 3,454 = 2.1022 or an increase of 110%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

115,150,746 X 0.00013 = 15,359 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

30449 – 15,359 = 15,090 or 15,090 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

30,449 ÷ 15,359 = 1.8442 or an increase of 84%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.