2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Quebec

1. 39,303 of 39,303 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 22% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 32,264 of 32,264 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 7,039 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 28,570 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 22% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 39,303 of 4,336,937 women of all ages living in Quebec died from All Causes.

39,303 ÷ 4,336,937 = 0.00906 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 435,602 deaths from All Causes among 58,552,914 women of all ages living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

435,602 ÷ 58,552,914 = 0.00744 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,336,937 X 0.00744 = 32,264 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

39,303 – 32,264 = 7,039

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

39,303 ÷ 32,264 = 1.2165

This reveals 7,039 lives lost and is 121.65% of what we expected (an increase of 22%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

240,460 ÷ 29,428,079 = 0.00817 (5-yr CDR)

4,336,937(2022 pop) X 0.00817 = 35,438 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

39,303 – 35,438 = 3,865 or 3,865 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

39,303 ÷ 35,438 = 1.1077 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

33,765,016 X 0.00744 = 251,193 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

279763 – 251,193 = 28,570 or 28,570 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

279,763 ÷ 251,193 = 1.1122 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.