2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Saskatchewan

1. 105 of 105 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 22% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 85 of 85 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 20 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 106 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 22% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 105 of 82,574 people aged 30-34 living in Saskatchewan died from All Causes.

105 ÷ 82,574 = 0.00127 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 995 deaths from All Causes among 964,917 people aged 30-34 living in Saskatchewan in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

995 ÷ 964,917 = 0.00103 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

82,574 X 0.00103 = 85 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

105 – 85 = 20

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

105 ÷ 85 = 1.2213

This reveals 20 lives lost and is 122.13% of what we expected (an increase of 22%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

698 ÷ 592,908 = 0.00118 (5-yr CDR)

82,574(2022 pop) X 0.00118 = 97 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

105 – 97 = 8 or 8 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

105 ÷ 97 = 1.0710 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

675,482 X 0.00103 = 697 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

803 – 697 = 106 or 106 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

803 ÷ 697 = 1.1418 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.