2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 70-74 | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 70-74 in Saskatchewan

1. 996 of 996 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,195 of 1,195 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 199 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,312 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 996 of 50,113 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan died from All Causes.

996 ÷ 50,113 = 0.01988 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 12,274 deaths from All Causes among 514,832 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

12,274 ÷ 514,832 = 0.02384 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

50,113 X 0.02384 = 1,195 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

996 – 1,195 = -199

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

996 ÷ 1,195 = 0.8333

This reveals 199 lives saved and is 83.33% of what we expected (a decrease of 17%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,940 ÷ 295,849 = 0.02008 (5-yr CDR)

50,113(2022 pop) X 0.02008 = 1,006 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

996 – 1,006 = -10 or 10 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

996 ÷ 1,006 = 0.9894 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

345,962 X 0.02384 = 8,248 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6936 – 8,248 = -1,312 or 1,312 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

6,936 ÷ 8,248 = 0.8406 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.