2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 90+ | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 90+ in Saskatchewan

1. 11,048 of 11,048 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 77% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 6,259 of 6,259 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 4,789 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 30,599 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 77% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 90+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 11,048 of 11,092 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Saskatchewan died from All Causes.

11,048 ÷ 11,092 = 0.99603 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 70,789 deaths from All Causes among 125,446 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Saskatchewan in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

70,789 ÷ 125,446 = 0.56430 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,092 X 0.56430 = 6,259 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

11,048 – 6,259 = 4,789

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

11,048 ÷ 6,259 = 1.7650

This reveals 4,789 lives lost and is 176.50% of what we expected (an increase of 77%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

70,932 ÷ 79,961 = 0.88708 (5-yr CDR)

11,092(2022 pop) X 0.88708 = 9,840 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11,048 – 9,840 = 1,208 or 1,208 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

11,048 ÷ 9,840 = 1.1228 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

91,053 X 0.56430 = 51,381 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

81980 – 51,381 = 30,599 or 30,599 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

81,980 ÷ 51,381 = 1.5955 or an increase of 60%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.