2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 65-69 | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in Saskatchewan

1. 527 of 527 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 627 of 627 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 100 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 702 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 527 of 33,505 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Saskatchewan died from All Causes.

527 ÷ 33,505 = 0.01573 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,107 deaths from All Causes among 273,087 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Saskatchewan in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,107 ÷ 273,087 = 0.01870 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

33,505 X 0.01870 = 627 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

527 – 627 = -100

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

527 ÷ 627 = 0.8406

This reveals 100 lives saved and is 84.06% of what we expected (a decrease of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,151 ÷ 200,722 = 0.01570 (5-yr CDR)

33,505(2022 pop) X 0.01570 = 526 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

527 – 526 = 1 or 1 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

527 ÷ 526 = 1.0013 or an increase of 0%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

234,227 X 0.01870 = 4,380 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3678 – 4,380 = -702 or 702 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,678 ÷ 4,380 = 0.8392 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.