2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Saskatchewan

1. 704 of 11,275 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.24% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 223% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 206 of 10,498 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 498 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 777 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,195 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,586 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Saskatchewan’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 223% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 704 of 1,194,803 individuals of all ages living in Saskatchewan died from Unknown Causes.

704 ÷ 1,194,803 = 0.00059 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,489 deaths from Unknown Causes among 14,444,777 individuals of all ages living in Saskatchewan in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,489 ÷ 14,444,777 = 0.00017 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,194,803 X 0.00017 = 206 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

704 – 206 = 498

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

704 ÷ 206 = 3.2319

This reveals 498 lives lost and is 323.19% of what we expected (an increase of 223%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,093 ÷ 8,101,491 = 0.00026 (5-yr CDR)

1,194,803(2022 pop) X 0.00026 = 309 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

704 – 309 = 395 or 395 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

704 ÷ 309 = 2.1957 or an increase of 120%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,296,294 X 0.00017 = 1,602 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2797 – 1,602 = 1,195 or 1,195 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,797 ÷ 1,602 = 1.6503 or an increase of 65%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among individuals of all ages living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.