2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Saskatchewan, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Saskatchewan

1. 380 of 5,882 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.46% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 273% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 96 of 5,403 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 284 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 479 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 716 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,140 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Saskatchewan’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 273% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 380 of 601,221 men of all ages living in Saskatchewan died from Unknown Causes.

380 ÷ 601,221 = 0.00063 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,148 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,205,144 men of all ages living in Saskatchewan in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,148 ÷ 7,205,144 = 0.00016 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

601,221 X 0.00016 = 96 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

380 – 96 = 284

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

380 ÷ 96 = 3.7326

This reveals 284 lives lost and is 373.26% of what we expected (an increase of 273%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,082 ÷ 4,080,540 = 0.00027 (5-yr CDR)

601,221(2022 pop) X 0.00027 = 159 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

380 – 159 = 221 or 221 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

380 ÷ 159 = 2.2970 or an increase of 130%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Saskatchewan in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,681,761 X 0.00016 = 746 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1462 – 746 = 716 or 716 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,462 ÷ 746 = 1.8442 or an increase of 84%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Saskatchewan in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.