2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Yukon, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Yukon

1. 28 of 28 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 99.96% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 40% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 46 of 46 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 18 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 109 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 40% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 28 of 2,506 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Yukon died from All Causes.

28 ÷ 2,506 = 0.01117 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 291 deaths from All Causes among 15,685 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Yukon in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

291 ÷ 15,685 = 0.01855 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,506 X 0.01855 = 46 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

28 – 46 = -18

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

28 ÷ 46 = 0.6019

This reveals 18 lives saved and is 60.19% of what we expected (a decrease of 40%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Yukon in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

179 ÷ 14,522 = 0.01233 (5-yr CDR)

2,506(2022 pop) X 0.01233 = 31 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

28 – 31 = -3 or 3 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

28 ÷ 31 = 0.9057 or a decrease of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Yukon in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,028 X 0.01855 = 316 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

207 – 316 = -109 or 109 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

207 ÷ 316 = 0.6549 or a decrease of 35%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Yukon in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.