2022 Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Ages 65-69 | Alabama, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Alabama

1. 6,417 of 6,417 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 6,095 of 6,095 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 322 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,113 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 5% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,417 of 297,711 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alabama died from All Causes.

6,417 ÷ 297,711 = 0.02155 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 60,698 deaths from All Causes among 2,964,808 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alabama in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

60,698 ÷ 2,964,808 = 0.02047 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

297,711 X 0.02047 = 6,095 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,417 – 6,095 = 322

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,417 ÷ 6,095 = 1.0523

This reveals 322 lives lost and is 105.23% of what we expected (an increase of 5%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

40,171 ÷ 1,923,515 = 0.02088 (5-yr CDR)

297,711(2022 pop) X 0.02088 = 6,217 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,417 – 6,217 = 200 or 200 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,417 ÷ 6,217 = 1.0316 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alabama in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,221,226 X 0.02047 = 45,475 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

46588 – 45,475 = 1,113 or 1,113 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

46,588 ÷ 45,475 = 1.0240 or an increase of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Alabama in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.