2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 40-44 | Arizona, United States

731
Excess Deaths
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  1. Total (1,004)

    2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 40-44 in Arizona

    1. 1,004 of 1,004 total deaths were from All Causes
    2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
    3. This is up 41% compared to Old Normal rates.
    4. 711 of 711 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
    5. 293 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
    6. 731 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
    1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 41% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

    Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

    • “How many men aged 40-44 were there?” and
    • “How many of them died from All Causes?”

    The following 2 charts provide this information:

    Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 40-44 | Arizona, United-states

    Graph showing Deaths - All Causes - Male - Aged 40-44 | Arizona, United-states

    Population – Male – Aged 40-44 – [2000-2022] | Arizona, United-states

    Graph showing Population - Male - Aged 40-44 - [2000-2022] | Arizona, United-states

    From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,004 of 232,357 men aged 40-44 living in Arizona died from All Causes.

    1,004 ÷ 232,357 = 0.00432 (2022 CDR)

    We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
    Old Normal (2001-2014) Arizona male aged 40-44 All Causes
    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2000
    188,993
    684
    684
    |2001
    194,907
    676
    676
    |2002
    199,478
    711
    711
    |2003
    201,385
    745
    745
    |2004
    205,464
    655
    655
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2005
    208,161
    685
    685
    |2006
    209,981
    678
    678
    |2007
    207,970
    649
    649
    |2008
    206,465
    618
    618
    |2009
    204,915
    562
    562
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2010
    205,899
    529
    529
    |2011
    209,943
    564
    564
    |2012
    212,170
    524
    524
    |2013
    212,067
    580
    580
    |2014
    211,627
    557
    557
     
     
     
     

     
     
     
     

    Cumulative:
    Population
    Deaths
    All Causes

    Totals:
    3,079,425
    9,417
    9,417

    The table shows there were a total of 9,417 deaths from All Causes among 3,079,425 men aged 40-44 living in Arizona in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

    9,417 ÷ 3,079,425 = 0.00306 (Old Normal CDR)

    We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

    2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

    232,357 X 0.00306 = 711 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

    1,004711 = 293

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

    1,004 ÷ 711 = 1.4084

    This reveals 293 lives lost and is 140.84% of what we expected (an increase of 41%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Arizona in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

    5yr CDR (2017-2021)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2017
    207,579
    621
    621
    |2018
    211,714
    567
    567
    |2019
    215,707
    655
    655
    |2020
    222,340
    898
    898
    |2021
    226,304
    1,149
    1,149
    Total:
    1,499,762
    5,024
    5,024

    This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

    5,024 ÷ 1,499,762 = 0.00335 (5-yr CDR)

    232,357(2022 pop) X 0.00335 = 778 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    1,004778 = 226 or 226 lives lost

    Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

    1,004 ÷ 778 = 1.2860 or an increase of 29%

    for deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Arizona in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

    Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

    Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

    New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

    1,732,119 X 0.00306 = 5,297 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    60285,297 = 731 or 731 lives lost

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

    6,028 ÷ 5,297 = 1.1343 or an increase of 13%

    in deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Arizona in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.

    New Normal (2015-2022)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2015
    209,800
    617
    617
    |2016
    206,318
    517
    517
    |2017
    207,579
    621
    621
    |2018
    211,714
    567
    567
    |2019
    215,707
    655
    655
    |2020
    222,340
    898
    898
    |2021
    226,304
    1,149
    1,149
    |2022
    232,357
    1,004
    1,004
    Total:
    1,732,119
    6,028
    6,028

    The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly

    The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.

    Return to the top of the page to select another age category.

    Deaths/100,000 male 40-44 from All Causes

    Graph showing Deaths/100,000 male 40-44 from All Causes