2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in District Of Columbia

1. 143 of 143 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 195 of 195 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 52 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 549 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 143 of 48,605 people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia died from All Causes.

143 ÷ 48,605 = 0.00294 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 2,412 deaths from All Causes among 600,914 people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,412 ÷ 600,914 = 0.00401 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

48,605 X 0.00401 = 195 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

143 – 195 = -52

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

143 ÷ 195 = 0.7312

This reveals 52 lives saved and is 73.12% of what we expected (a decrease of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

744 ÷ 309,137 = 0.00241 (5-yr CDR)

48,605(2022 pop) X 0.00241 = 117 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

143 – 117 = 26 or 26 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

143 ÷ 117 = 1.2174 or an increase of 22%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

357,742 X 0.00401 = 1,436 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

887 – 1,436 = -549 or 549 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

887 ÷ 1,436 = 0.6162 or a decrease of 38%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.