2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 50-54 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 50-54 in District Of Columbia

1. 211 of 211 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 31% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 307 of 307 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 96 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 534 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 31% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 211 of 34,976 people aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia died from All Causes.

211 ÷ 34,976 = 0.00603 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 4,901 deaths from All Causes among 557,901 people aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,901 ÷ 557,901 = 0.00878 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

34,976 X 0.00878 = 307 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

211 – 307 = -96

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

211 ÷ 307 = 0.6859

This reveals 96 lives saved and is 68.59% of what we expected (a decrease of 31%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,826 ÷ 257,636 = 0.00709 (5-yr CDR)

34,976(2022 pop) X 0.00709 = 248 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

211 – 248 = -37 or 37 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

211 ÷ 248 = 0.8500 or a decrease of 15%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

292,612 X 0.00878 = 2,571 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2037 – 2,571 = -534 or 534 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,037 ÷ 2,571 = 0.7915 or a decrease of 21%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.