2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in District Of Columbia

1. 502 of 502 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 438 of 438 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 64 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 537 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 502 of 31,196 people aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia died from All Causes.

502 ÷ 31,196 = 0.01609 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 5,716 deaths from All Causes among 407,295 people aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,716 ÷ 407,295 = 0.01403 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

31,196 X 0.01403 = 438 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

502 – 438 = 64

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

502 ÷ 438 = 1.1458

This reveals 64 lives lost and is 114.58% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,724 ÷ 231,649 = 0.01608 (5-yr CDR)

31,196(2022 pop) X 0.01608 = 502 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

502 – 502 = 0 or 0 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

502 ÷ 502 = 1.0004 or an increase of 0%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

262,845 X 0.01403 = 3,689 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4226 – 3,689 = 537 or 537 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,226 ÷ 3,689 = 1.1448 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.