2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in District Of Columbia

1. 565 of 565 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 667 of 667 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 102 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 847 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 565 of 15,816 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in District Of Columbia died from All Causes.

565 ÷ 15,816 = 0.03572 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 8,176 deaths from All Causes among 193,989 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

8,176 ÷ 193,989 = 0.04215 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

15,816 X 0.04215 = 667 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

565 – 667 = -102

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

565 ÷ 667 = 0.8474

This reveals 102 lives saved and is 84.74% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,422 ÷ 98,869 = 0.03461 (5-yr CDR)

15,816(2022 pop) X 0.03461 = 547 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

565 – 547 = 18 or 18 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

565 ÷ 547 = 1.0318 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

114,685 X 0.04215 = 4,834 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3987 – 4,834 = -847 or 847 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,987 ÷ 4,834 = 0.8247 or a decrease of 18%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.