2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in District Of Columbia

1. 102 of 114 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 89.47% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 28% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 140 of 146 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 38 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 32 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 374 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 310 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of District Of Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 28% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 102 of 62,344 people aged 35-39 living in District Of Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

102 ÷ 62,344 = 0.00164 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 1,507 deaths from Unknown Causes among 669,557 people aged 35-39 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,507 ÷ 669,557 = 0.00225 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

62,344 X 0.00225 = 140 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

102 – 140 = -38

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

102 ÷ 140 = 0.7237

This reveals 38 lives saved and is 72.37% of what we expected (a decrease of 28%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

622 ÷ 425,620 = 0.00146 (5-yr CDR)

62,344(2022 pop) X 0.00146 = 91 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

102 – 91 = 11 or 11 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

102 ÷ 91 = 1.1119 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

487,964 X 0.00225 = 1,098 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

724 – 1,098 = -374 or 374 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

724 ÷ 1,098 = 0.6563 or a decrease of 34%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.