2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – Ages 50-54 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 50-54 in District Of Columbia

1. 84 of 84 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 99.99% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 19% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 103 of 113 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 19 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 29 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 123 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 134 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of District Of Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 19% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 84 of 17,080 women aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

84 ÷ 17,080 = 0.00492 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,754 deaths from Unknown Causes among 290,439 women aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,754 ÷ 290,439 = 0.00604 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

17,080 X 0.00604 = 103 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

84 – 103 = -19

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

84 ÷ 103 = 0.8130

This reveals 19 lives saved and is 81.30% of what we expected (a decrease of 19%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

672 ÷ 128,543 = 0.00523 (5-yr CDR)

17,080(2022 pop) X 0.00523 = 89 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

84 – 89 = -5 or 5 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

84 ÷ 89 = 0.9389 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

145,623 X 0.00604 = 879 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

756 – 879 = -123 or 123 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

756 ÷ 879 = 0.8582 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 50-54 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.