2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – Ages 60-64 | District Of Columbia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in District Of Columbia

1. 161 of 207 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 77.77% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 24% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 130 of 169 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 31 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 38 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 165 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 257 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of District Of Columbia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 24% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 161 of 16,183 women aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia died from Unknown Causes.

161 ÷ 16,183 = 0.00995 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,792 deaths from Unknown Causes among 222,966 women aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,792 ÷ 222,966 = 0.00804 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

16,183 X 0.00804 = 130 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

161 – 130 = 31

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

161 ÷ 130 = 1.2363

This reveals 31 lives lost and is 123.63% of what we expected (an increase of 24%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,135 ÷ 124,566 = 0.00911 (5-yr CDR)

16,183(2022 pop) X 0.00911 = 147 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

161 – 147 = 14 or 14 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

161 ÷ 147 = 1.0907 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

140,749 X 0.00804 = 1,131 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1296 – 1,131 = 165 or 165 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,296 ÷ 1,131 = 1.1442 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in District Of Columbia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.