2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Florida

1. 2,780 of 2,780 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 45% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,901 of 1,901 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 879 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 5,074 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 45% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,780 of 1,463,892 people aged 30-34 living in Florida died from All Causes.

2,780 ÷ 1,463,892 = 0.00190 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 21,892 deaths from All Causes among 16,856,864 people aged 30-34 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

21,892 ÷ 16,856,864 = 0.00130 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,463,892 X 0.00130 = 1,901 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,780 – 1,901 = 879

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,780 ÷ 1,901 = 1.4511

This reveals 879 lives lost and is 145.11% of what we expected (an increase of 45%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

16,489 ÷ 9,465,979 = 0.00174 (5-yr CDR)

1,463,892(2022 pop) X 0.00174 = 2,550 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,780 – 2,550 = 230 or 230 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,780 ÷ 2,550 = 1.0840 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,929,871 X 0.00130 = 14,195 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

19269 – 14,195 = 5,074 or 5,074 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

19,269 ÷ 14,195 = 1.3471 or an increase of 35%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.