2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in Florida

1. 3,294 of 3,294 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 37% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,384 of 2,384 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 910 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 4,727 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 37% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,294 of 1,413,068 people aged 35-39 living in Florida died from All Causes.

3,294 ÷ 1,413,068 = 0.00233 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 30,376 deaths from All Causes among 18,003,433 people aged 35-39 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

30,376 ÷ 18,003,433 = 0.00169 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,413,068 X 0.00169 = 2,384 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,294 – 2,384 = 910

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,294 ÷ 2,384 = 1.3735

This reveals 910 lives lost and is 137.35% of what we expected (an increase of 37%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

19,195 ÷ 9,114,082 = 0.00211 (5-yr CDR)

1,413,068(2022 pop) X 0.00211 = 2,976 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,294 – 2,976 = 318 or 318 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,294 ÷ 2,976 = 1.1016 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,527,150 X 0.00169 = 17,762 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

22489 – 17,762 = 4,727 or 4,727 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

22,489 ÷ 17,762 = 1.2587 or an increase of 26%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.