2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 45-49 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in Florida

1. 4,731 of 4,731 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,902 of 4,902 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 171 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,787 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,731 of 1,309,974 people aged 45-49 living in Florida died from All Causes.

4,731 ÷ 1,309,974 = 0.00361 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 73,006 deaths from All Causes among 19,509,677 people aged 45-49 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

73,006 ÷ 19,509,677 = 0.00374 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,309,974 X 0.00374 = 4,902 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,731 – 4,902 = -171

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,731 ÷ 4,902 = 0.9625

This reveals 171 lives saved and is 96.25% of what we expected (a decrease of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

32,206 ÷ 9,305,589 = 0.00346 (5-yr CDR)

1,309,974(2022 pop) X 0.00346 = 4,534 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,731 – 4,534 = 197 or 197 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,731 ÷ 4,534 = 1.0405 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,615,563 X 0.00374 = 39,724 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

36937 – 39,724 = -2,787 or 2,787 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

36,937 ÷ 39,724 = 0.9274 or a decrease of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.