2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Florida

1. 20,853 of 20,853 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 5% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 19,836 of 19,836 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,017 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,639 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 5% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 20,853 of 1,382,885 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Florida died from All Causes.

20,853 ÷ 1,382,885 = 0.01508 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 191,096 deaths from All Causes among 13,322,195 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

191,096 ÷ 13,322,195 = 0.01434 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,382,885 X 0.01434 = 19,836 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

20,853 – 19,836 = 1,017

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

20,853 ÷ 19,836 = 1.0505

This reveals 1,017 lives lost and is 105.05% of what we expected (an increase of 5%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

129,592 ÷ 8,991,046 = 0.01441 (5-yr CDR)

1,382,885(2022 pop) X 0.01441 = 19,932 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

20,853 – 19,932 = 921 or 921 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

20,853 ÷ 19,932 = 1.0455 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,373,931 X 0.01434 = 148,806 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

150445 – 148,806 = 1,639 or 1,639 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

150,445 ÷ 148,806 = 1.0103 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.