2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | Florida, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in Florida

1. 2,186 of 2,186 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 42% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,537 of 1,537 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 649 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 3,341 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 42% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,186 of 717,497 men aged 35-39 living in Florida died from All Causes.

2,186 ÷ 717,497 = 0.00305 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 19,204 deaths from All Causes among 8,965,709 men aged 35-39 living in Florida in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

19,204 ÷ 8,965,709 = 0.00214 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

717,497 X 0.00214 = 1,537 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,186 – 1,537 = 649

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,186 ÷ 1,537 = 1.4158

This reveals 649 lives lost and is 141.58% of what we expected (an increase of 42%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

12,432 ÷ 4,547,463 = 0.00273 (5-yr CDR)

717,497(2022 pop) X 0.00273 = 1,962 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,186 – 1,962 = 224 or 224 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,186 ÷ 1,962 = 1.1104 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Florida in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,264,960 X 0.00214 = 11,277 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

14618 – 11,277 = 3,341 or 3,341 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

14,618 ÷ 11,277 = 1.2902 or an increase of 29%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Florida in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.