2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in Georgia

1. 1,868 of 1,868 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 54% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,205 of 1,205 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 663 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,325 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 54% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,868 of 727,448 people aged 35-39 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

1,868 ÷ 727,448 = 0.00257 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 17,110 deaths from All Causes among 10,327,717 people aged 35-39 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

17,110 ÷ 10,327,717 = 0.00166 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

727,448 X 0.00166 = 1,205 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,868 – 1,205 = 663

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,868 ÷ 1,205 = 1.5407

This reveals 663 lives lost and is 154.07% of what we expected (an increase of 54%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,790 ÷ 4,906,234 = 0.00200 (5-yr CDR)

727,448(2022 pop) X 0.00200 = 1,452 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,868 – 1,452 = 416 or 416 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,868 ÷ 1,452 = 1.2805 or an increase of 28%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,633,682 X 0.00166 = 9,333 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

11658 – 9,333 = 2,325 or 2,325 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

11,658 ÷ 9,333 = 1.2416 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.