2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Georgia

1. 10,313 of 10,313 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 10,181 of 10,181 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 132 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,959 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 10,313 of 550,424 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

10,313 ÷ 550,424 = 0.01874 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 88,818 deaths from All Causes among 4,801,728 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

88,818 ÷ 4,801,728 = 0.01850 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

550,424 X 0.01850 = 10,181 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

10,313 – 10,181 = 132

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

10,313 ÷ 10,181 = 1.0124

This reveals 132 lives lost and is 101.24% of what we expected (an increase of 1%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

63,481 ÷ 3,544,964 = 0.01791 (5-yr CDR)

550,424(2022 pop) X 0.01791 = 9,857 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10,313 – 9,857 = 456 or 456 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

10,313 ÷ 9,857 = 1.0457 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,095,388 X 0.01850 = 75,753 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

73794 – 75,753 = -1,959 or 1,959 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

73,794 ÷ 75,753 = 0.9736 or a decrease of 3%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.