2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 70-74 | Georgia, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 70-74 in Georgia

1. 12,178 of 12,178 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 12,654 of 12,654 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 476 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 6,407 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 70-74 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 12,178 of 443,833 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Georgia died from All Causes.

12,178 ÷ 443,833 = 0.02744 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 101,648 deaths from All Causes among 3,565,215 elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Georgia in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

101,648 ÷ 3,565,215 = 0.02851 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

443,833 X 0.02851 = 12,654 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

12,178 – 12,654 = -476

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

12,178 ÷ 12,654 = 0.9620

This reveals 476 lives saved and is 96.20% of what we expected (a decrease of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

72,158 ÷ 2,738,898 = 0.02635 (5-yr CDR)

443,833(2022 pop) X 0.02635 = 11,693 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

12,178 – 11,693 = 485 or 485 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

12,178 ÷ 11,693 = 1.0411 or an increase of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Georgia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,182,731 X 0.02851 = 90,743 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

84336 – 90,743 = -6,407 or 6,407 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

84,336 ÷ 90,743 = 0.9291 or a decrease of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Georgia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.