2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 20-24 in Indiana

1. 531 of 531 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 472 of 472 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 59 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 660 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 531 of 495,248 people aged 20-24 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

531 ÷ 495,248 = 0.00107 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,502 deaths from All Causes among 6,826,417 people aged 20-24 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,502 ÷ 6,826,417 = 0.00095 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

495,248 X 0.00095 = 472 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

531 – 472 = 59

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

531 ÷ 472 = 1.1140

This reveals 59 lives lost and is 111.40% of what we expected (an increase of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,772 ÷ 3,329,227 = 0.00113 (5-yr CDR)

495,248(2022 pop) X 0.00113 = 561 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

531 – 561 = -30 or 30 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

531 ÷ 561 = 0.9381 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,824,475 X 0.00095 = 3,643 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4303 – 3,643 = 660 or 660 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,303 ÷ 3,643 = 1.1690 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.