2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in Indiana

1. 1,131 of 1,131 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 64% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 686 of 686 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 445 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,397 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 64% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,131 of 430,282 people aged 35-39 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

1,131 ÷ 430,282 = 0.00263 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,243 deaths from All Causes among 6,421,376 people aged 35-39 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,243 ÷ 6,421,376 = 0.00160 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

430,282 X 0.00160 = 686 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,131 – 686 = 445

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,131 ÷ 686 = 1.6376

This reveals 445 lives lost and is 163.76% of what we expected (an increase of 64%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,675 ÷ 2,960,366 = 0.00225 (5-yr CDR)

430,282(2022 pop) X 0.00225 = 970 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,131 – 970 = 161 or 161 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,131 ÷ 970 = 1.1606 or an increase of 16%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,390,648 X 0.00160 = 5,409 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7806 – 5,409 = 2,397 or 2,397 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,806 ÷ 5,409 = 1.4343 or an increase of 43%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.