2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80+ | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in Indiana

1. 29,106 of 29,106 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 6% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 27,384 of 27,384 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,722 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 20,779 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 6% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 29,106 of 131,059 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Indiana died from All Causes.

29,106 ÷ 131,059 = 0.22208 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 368,785 deaths from All Causes among 1,764,975 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

368,785 ÷ 1,764,975 = 0.20895 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

131,059 X 0.20895 = 27,384 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

29,106 – 27,384 = 1,722

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

29,106 ÷ 27,384 = 1.0628

This reveals 1,722 lives lost and is 106.28% of what we expected (an increase of 6%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

198,028 ÷ 856,537 = 0.23120 (5-yr CDR)

131,059(2022 pop) X 0.23120 = 30,300 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

29,106 – 30,300 = -1,194 or 1,194 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

29,106 ÷ 30,300 = 0.9605 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

987,596 X 0.20895 = 206,355 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

227134 – 206,355 = 20,779 or 20,779 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

227,134 ÷ 206,355 = 1.1006 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.