2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 35-39 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 35-39 in Indiana

1. 390 of 390 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 56% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 248 of 248 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 142 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 796 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 56% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 390 of 213,644 women aged 35-39 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

390 ÷ 213,644 = 0.00183 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,716 deaths from All Causes among 3,206,254 women aged 35-39 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,716 ÷ 3,206,254 = 0.00116 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

213,644 X 0.00116 = 248 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

390 – 248 = 142

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

390 ÷ 248 = 1.5616

This reveals 142 lives lost and is 156.16% of what we expected (an increase of 56%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 35-39 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,369 ÷ 1,480,097 = 0.00160 (5-yr CDR)

213,644(2022 pop) X 0.00160 = 342 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

390 – 342 = 48 or 48 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

390 ÷ 342 = 1.1334 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 35-39 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,693,741 X 0.00116 = 1,963 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2759 – 1,963 = 796 or 796 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,759 ÷ 1,963 = 1.3935 or an increase of 39%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 35-39 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.