2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 45-49 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 45-49 in Indiana

1. 684 of 684 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 538 of 538 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 146 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 516 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 45-49 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 684 of 196,435 women aged 45-49 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

684 ÷ 196,435 = 0.00348 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 9,543 deaths from All Causes among 3,481,971 women aged 45-49 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,543 ÷ 3,481,971 = 0.00274 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

196,435 X 0.00274 = 538 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

684 – 538 = 146

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

684 ÷ 538 = 1.2659

This reveals 146 lives lost and is 126.59% of what we expected (an increase of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 45-49 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,344 ÷ 1,449,869 = 0.00300 (5-yr CDR)

196,435(2022 pop) X 0.00300 = 589 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

684 – 589 = 95 or 95 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

684 ÷ 589 = 1.1583 or an increase of 16%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 45-49 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,646,304 X 0.00274 = 4,512 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5028 – 4,512 = 516 or 516 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,028 ÷ 4,512 = 1.1103 or an increase of 11%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 45-49 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.