2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – Ages 60-64 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in Indiana

1. 2,402 of 2,402 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,082 of 2,082 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 320 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,012 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,402 of 220,974 women aged 60-64 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

2,402 ÷ 220,974 = 0.01087 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 22,745 deaths from All Causes among 2,414,051 women aged 60-64 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

22,745 ÷ 2,414,051 = 0.00942 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

220,974 X 0.00942 = 2,082 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,402 – 2,082 = 320

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,402 ÷ 2,082 = 1.1525

This reveals 320 lives lost and is 115.25% of what we expected (an increase of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,945 ÷ 1,512,741 = 0.00988 (5-yr CDR)

220,974(2022 pop) X 0.00988 = 2,183 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,402 – 2,183 = 219 or 219 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,402 ÷ 2,183 = 1.0992 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,733,715 X 0.00942 = 16,335 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17347 – 16,335 = 1,012 or 1,012 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

17,347 ÷ 16,335 = 1.0608 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 60-64 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.