2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 15-19 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for teen-aged boys aged 15-19 in Indiana

1. 234 of 234 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 206 of 206 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 28 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 123 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many teen-aged boys aged 15-19 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 234 of 239,025 teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

234 ÷ 239,025 = 0.00098 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,068 deaths from All Causes among 3,563,649 teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,068 ÷ 3,563,649 = 0.00086 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

239,025 X 0.00086 = 206 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

234 – 206 = 28

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

234 ÷ 206 = 1.1241

This reveals 28 lives lost and is 112.41% of what we expected (an increase of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,508 ÷ 1,641,950 = 0.00092 (5-yr CDR)

239,025(2022 pop) X 0.00092 = 220 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

234 – 220 = 14 or 14 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

234 ÷ 220 = 1.0545 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,880,975 X 0.00086 = 1,619 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1742 – 1,619 = 123 or 123 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,742 ÷ 1,619 = 1.0634 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.