2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in Indiana

1. 671 of 671 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 77% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 378 of 378 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 293 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,686 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 77% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 671 of 227,896 men aged 30-34 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

671 ÷ 227,896 = 0.00294 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,182 deaths from All Causes among 3,126,790 men aged 30-34 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,182 ÷ 3,126,790 = 0.00166 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

227,896 X 0.00166 = 378 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

671 – 378 = 293

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

671 ÷ 378 = 1.7659

This reveals 293 lives lost and is 176.59% of what we expected (an increase of 77%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,869 ÷ 1,494,368 = 0.00259 (5-yr CDR)

227,896(2022 pop) X 0.00259 = 590 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

671 – 590 = 81 or 81 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

671 ÷ 590 = 1.1328 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,722,264 X 0.00166 = 2,854 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4540 – 2,854 = 1,686 or 1,686 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,540 ÷ 2,854 = 1.5810 or an increase of 58%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.