2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | Indiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in Indiana

1. 741 of 741 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 68% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 440 of 440 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 301 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,602 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 68% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 741 of 216,638 men aged 35-39 living in Indiana died from All Causes.

741 ÷ 216,638 = 0.00342 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,527 deaths from All Causes among 3,215,122 men aged 35-39 living in Indiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,527 ÷ 3,215,122 = 0.00203 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

216,638 X 0.00203 = 440 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

741 – 440 = 301

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

741 ÷ 440 = 1.6766

This reveals 301 lives lost and is 167.66% of what we expected (an increase of 68%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,306 ÷ 1,480,269 = 0.00291 (5-yr CDR)

216,638(2022 pop) X 0.00291 = 630 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

741 – 630 = 111 or 111 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

741 ÷ 630 = 1.1718 or an increase of 17%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Indiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,696,907 X 0.00203 = 3,445 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5047 – 3,445 = 1,602 or 1,602 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,047 ÷ 3,445 = 1.4579 or an increase of 46%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in Indiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.