2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 55-59 | Iowa, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 55-59 in Iowa

1. 1,488 of 1,488 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 21% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,223 of 1,223 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 265 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,553 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 21% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,488 of 193,156 people aged 55-59 living in Iowa died from All Causes.

1,488 ÷ 193,156 = 0.00770 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 17,507 deaths from All Causes among 2,764,826 people aged 55-59 living in Iowa in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

17,507 ÷ 2,764,826 = 0.00633 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

193,156 X 0.00633 = 1,223 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,488 – 1,223 = 265

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,488 ÷ 1,223 = 1.2147

This reveals 265 lives lost and is 121.47% of what we expected (an increase of 21%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

10,670 ÷ 1,481,711 = 0.00720 (5-yr CDR)

193,156(2022 pop) X 0.00720 = 1,391 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,488 – 1,391 = 97 or 97 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,488 ÷ 1,391 = 1.0683 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,674,867 X 0.00633 = 10,605 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

12158 – 10,605 = 1,553 or 1,553 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

12,158 ÷ 10,605 = 1.1446 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Iowa in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.