2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | Iowa, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in Iowa

1. 2,372 of 2,372 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,052 of 2,052 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 320 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,220 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,372 of 208,422 people aged 60-64 living in Iowa died from All Causes.

2,372 ÷ 208,422 = 0.01138 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 22,227 deaths from All Causes among 2,258,142 people aged 60-64 living in Iowa in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

22,227 ÷ 2,258,142 = 0.00984 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

208,422 X 0.00984 = 2,052 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,372 – 2,052 = 320

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,372 ÷ 2,052 = 1.1550

This reveals 320 lives lost and is 115.50% of what we expected (an increase of 16%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,893 ÷ 1,421,620 = 0.01048 (5-yr CDR)

208,422(2022 pop) X 0.01048 = 2,183 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,372 – 2,183 = 189 or 189 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,372 ÷ 2,183 = 1.0853 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,630,042 X 0.00984 = 16,045 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17265 – 16,045 = 1,220 or 1,220 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

17,265 ÷ 16,045 = 1.0750 or an increase of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Iowa in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.