2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 50-54 | Iowa, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 50-54 in Iowa

1. 628 of 628 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 24% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 504 of 504 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 124 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 491 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 24% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 628 of 94,467 men aged 50-54 living in Iowa died from All Causes.

628 ÷ 94,467 = 0.00665 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 8,461 deaths from All Causes among 1,584,482 men aged 50-54 living in Iowa in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

8,461 ÷ 1,584,482 = 0.00534 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

94,467 X 0.00534 = 504 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

628 – 504 = 124

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

628 ÷ 504 = 1.2426

This reveals 124 lives lost and is 124.26% of what we expected (an increase of 24%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,996 ÷ 679,518 = 0.00588 (5-yr CDR)

94,467(2022 pop) X 0.00588 = 556 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

628 – 556 = 72 or 72 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

628 ÷ 556 = 1.1285 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

773,985 X 0.00534 = 4,133 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4624 – 4,133 = 491 or 491 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,624 ÷ 4,133 = 1.1167 or an increase of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in Iowa in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.