2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 55-59 | Iowa, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 55-59 in Iowa

1. 942 of 942 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 22% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 774 of 774 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 168 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 959 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 22% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 942 of 97,470 men aged 55-59 living in Iowa died from All Causes.

942 ÷ 97,470 = 0.00966 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,928 deaths from All Causes among 1,376,349 men aged 55-59 living in Iowa in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,928 ÷ 1,376,349 = 0.00794 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

97,470 X 0.00794 = 774 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

942 – 774 = 168

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

942 ÷ 774 = 1.2157

This reveals 168 lives lost and is 121.57% of what we expected (an increase of 22%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,623 ÷ 734,560 = 0.00902 (5-yr CDR)

97,470(2022 pop) X 0.00902 = 879 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

942 – 879 = 63 or 63 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

942 ÷ 879 = 1.0707 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

832,030 X 0.00794 = 6,606 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7565 – 6,606 = 959 or 959 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,565 ÷ 6,606 = 1.1437 or an increase of 14%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 55-59 living in Iowa in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.