2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 60-64 | Iowa, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Iowa

1. 1,436 of 1,436 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,253 of 1,253 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 183 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 965 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,436 of 103,591 men aged 60-64 living in Iowa died from All Causes.

1,436 ÷ 103,591 = 0.01386 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 13,399 deaths from All Causes among 1,107,333 men aged 60-64 living in Iowa in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

13,399 ÷ 1,107,333 = 0.01210 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

103,591 X 0.01210 = 1,253 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,436 – 1,253 = 183

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,436 ÷ 1,253 = 1.1447

This reveals 183 lives lost and is 114.47% of what we expected (an increase of 14%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,296 ÷ 703,606 = 0.01321 (5-yr CDR)

103,591(2022 pop) X 0.01321 = 1,369 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,436 – 1,369 = 67 or 67 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,436 ÷ 1,369 = 1.0484 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Iowa in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

807,197 X 0.01210 = 9,767 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10732 – 9,767 = 965 or 965 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,732 ÷ 9,767 = 1.0979 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Iowa in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.