2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 40-44 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 40-44 in Kansas

1. 570 of 570 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 43% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 396 of 396 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 174 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 499 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 43% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 570 of 185,634 people aged 40-44 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

570 ÷ 185,634 = 0.00307 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,111 deaths from All Causes among 2,863,455 people aged 40-44 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,111 ÷ 2,863,455 = 0.00213 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

185,634 X 0.00213 = 396 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

570 – 396 = 174

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

570 ÷ 396 = 1.4321

This reveals 174 lives lost and is 143.21% of what we expected (an increase of 43%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,859 ÷ 1,187,292 = 0.00241 (5-yr CDR)

185,634(2022 pop) X 0.00241 = 447 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

570 – 447 = 123 or 123 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

570 ÷ 447 = 1.2699 or an increase of 27%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,372,926 X 0.00213 = 2,930 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3429 – 2,930 = 499 or 499 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,429 ÷ 2,930 = 1.1648 or an increase of 16%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.