2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Kansas

1. 3,041 of 3,041 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,715 of 2,715 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 326 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 214 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,041 of 165,016 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

3,041 ÷ 165,016 = 0.01843 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 25,201 deaths from All Causes among 1,531,946 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

25,201 ÷ 1,531,946 = 0.01645 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

165,016 X 0.01645 = 2,715 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,041 – 2,715 = 326

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,041 ÷ 2,715 = 1.1196

This reveals 326 lives lost and is 111.96% of what we expected (an increase of 12%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

17,290 ÷ 1,057,860 = 0.01634 (5-yr CDR)

165,016(2022 pop) X 0.01634 = 2,697 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,041 – 2,697 = 344 or 344 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,041 ÷ 2,697 = 1.1268 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

1,222,876 X 0.01645 = 20,117 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

20331 – 20,117 = 214 or 214 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

20,331 ÷ 20,117 = 1.0100 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.