2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80+ | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in Kansas

1. 13,530 of 13,530 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 12,222 of 12,222 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,308 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 9,348 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 13,530 of 56,728 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Kansas died from All Causes.

13,530 ÷ 56,728 = 0.23851 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 182,597 deaths from All Causes among 847,514 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

182,597 ÷ 847,514 = 0.21545 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

56,728 X 0.21545 = 12,222 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

13,530 – 12,222 = 1,308

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

13,530 ÷ 12,222 = 1.1070

This reveals 1,308 lives lost and is 110.70% of what we expected (an increase of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

91,473 ÷ 387,251 = 0.23621 (5-yr CDR)

56,728(2022 pop) X 0.23621 = 13,400 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

13,530 – 13,400 = 130 or 130 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

13,530 ÷ 13,400 = 1.0097 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

443,979 X 0.21545 = 95,655 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

105003 – 95,655 = 9,348 or 9,348 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

105,003 ÷ 95,655 = 1.0977 or an increase of 10%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.