2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 40-44 | Kansas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 40-44 in Kansas

1. 350 of 350 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 42% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 245 of 245 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 105 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 306 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 42% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 350 of 95,507 men aged 40-44 living in Kansas died from All Causes.

350 ÷ 95,507 = 0.00366 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,674 deaths from All Causes among 1,431,547 men aged 40-44 living in Kansas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,674 ÷ 1,431,547 = 0.00257 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

95,507 X 0.00257 = 245 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

350 – 245 = 105

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

350 ÷ 245 = 1.4224

This reveals 105 lives lost and is 142.24% of what we expected (an increase of 42%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,745 ÷ 601,403 = 0.00290 (5-yr CDR)

95,507(2022 pop) X 0.00290 = 277 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

350 – 277 = 73 or 73 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

350 ÷ 277 = 1.2587 or an increase of 26%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Kansas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

696,910 X 0.00257 = 1,789 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2095 – 1,789 = 306 or 306 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,095 ÷ 1,789 = 1.1668 or an increase of 17%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Kansas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.