2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – All Ages | Kentucky, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for individuals of all ages in Kentucky

1. 57,049 of 57,049 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 30% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 43,803 of 43,803 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 13,246 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 66,561 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 30% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many individuals of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 57,049 of 4,433,642 individuals of all ages living in Kentucky died from All Causes.

57,049 ÷ 4,433,642 = 0.01287 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 618,924 deaths from All Causes among 62,646,151 individuals of all ages living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

618,924 ÷ 62,646,151 = 0.00988 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,433,642 X 0.00988 = 43,803 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

57,049 – 43,803 = 13,246

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

57,049 ÷ 43,803 = 1.3011

This reveals 13,246 lives lost and is 130.11% of what we expected (an increase of 30%) in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

356,477 ÷ 30,685,371 = 0.01162 (5-yr CDR)

4,433,642(2022 pop) X 0.01162 = 51,506 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

57,049 – 51,506 = 5,543 or 5,543 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

57,049 ÷ 51,506 = 1.1067 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

35,119,013 X 0.00988 = 346,965 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

413526 – 346,965 = 66,561 or 66,561 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

413,526 ÷ 346,965 = 1.1906 or an increase of 19%

in deaths from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.