2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | Kentucky, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in Kentucky

1. 27,443 of 27,443 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 21,679 of 21,679 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 5,764 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 26,565 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 27,443 of 2,219,801 women of all ages living in Kentucky died from All Causes.

27,443 ÷ 2,219,801 = 0.01236 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 309,512 deaths from All Causes among 31,691,977 women of all ages living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

309,512 ÷ 31,691,977 = 0.00977 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,219,801 X 0.00977 = 21,679 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

27,443 – 21,679 = 5,764

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

27,443 ÷ 21,679 = 1.2646

This reveals 5,764 lives lost and is 126.46% of what we expected (an increase of 26%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

171,889 ÷ 15,470,386 = 0.01111 (5-yr CDR)

2,219,801(2022 pop) X 0.01111 = 24,664 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

27,443 – 24,664 = 2,779 or 2,779 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

27,443 ÷ 24,664 = 1.1117 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,690,187 X 0.00977 = 172,767 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

199332 – 172,767 = 26,565 or 26,565 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

199,332 ÷ 172,767 = 1.1526 or an increase of 15%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.