2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Kentucky, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Kentucky

1. 29,606 of 29,606 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 34% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 22,129 of 22,129 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 7,477 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 39,979 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 34% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 29,606 of 2,213,841 men of all ages living in Kentucky died from All Causes.

29,606 ÷ 2,213,841 = 0.01337 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 309,412 deaths from All Causes among 30,954,174 men of all ages living in Kentucky in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

309,412 ÷ 30,954,174 = 0.01000 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,213,841 X 0.01000 = 22,129 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

29,606 – 22,129 = 7,477

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

29,606 ÷ 22,129 = 1.3365

This reveals 7,477 lives lost and is 133.65% of what we expected (an increase of 34%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

184,588 ÷ 15,214,985 = 0.01213 (5-yr CDR)

2,213,841(2022 pop) X 0.01213 = 26,858 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

29,606 – 26,858 = 2,748 or 2,748 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

29,606 ÷ 26,858 = 1.1014 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Kentucky in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,428,826 X 0.01000 = 174,215 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

214194 – 174,215 = 39,979 or 39,979 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

214,194 ÷ 174,215 = 1.2283 or an increase of 23%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Kentucky in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.