2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | Louisiana, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in Louisiana

1. 4,581 of 4,581 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 4,109 of 4,109 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 472 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,157 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 11% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,581 of 293,976 people aged 60-64 living in Louisiana died from All Causes.

4,581 ÷ 293,976 = 0.01558 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 45,637 deaths from All Causes among 3,264,798 people aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

45,637 ÷ 3,264,798 = 0.01398 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

293,976 X 0.01398 = 4,109 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,581 – 4,109 = 472

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,581 ÷ 4,109 = 1.1140

This reveals 472 lives lost and is 111.40% of what we expected (an increase of 11%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

30,213 ÷ 2,040,847 = 0.01480 (5-yr CDR)

293,976(2022 pop) X 0.01480 = 4,352 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,581 – 4,352 = 229 or 229 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,581 ÷ 4,352 = 1.0519 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,334,823 X 0.01398 = 32,637 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

34794 – 32,637 = 2,157 or 2,157 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

34,794 ÷ 32,637 = 1.0653 or an increase of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Louisiana in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.