2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 20-24 in Maryland

1. 427 of 427 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 412 of 412 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 15 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 219 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 427 of 384,265 people aged 20-24 living in Maryland died from All Causes.

427 ÷ 384,265 = 0.00111 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,991 deaths from All Causes among 5,582,526 people aged 20-24 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,991 ÷ 5,582,526 = 0.00107 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

384,265 X 0.00107 = 412 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

427 – 412 = 15

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

427 ÷ 412 = 1.0259

This reveals 15 lives lost and is 102.59% of what we expected (an increase of 3%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,066 ÷ 2,666,588 = 0.00115 (5-yr CDR)

384,265(2022 pop) X 0.00115 = 442 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

427 – 442 = -15 or 15 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

427 ÷ 442 = 0.9581 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,050,853 X 0.00107 = 3,274 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3493 – 3,274 = 219 or 219 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,493 ÷ 3,274 = 1.0570 or an increase of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.